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SUMMARY

 

PREFACE / NEW ECONOMY          

By Ahmet Hamamcıoğlu/Editor

 

Volume of the world trade reached to $6 trillion, according to $326 billion of 1970’s, because of the acceleration in the economy was brought by IT.

 

It can be seen in developed countries that, as parallel to innovations in information technologies, speed of development, and levels of revenue are increasing, while unemployment and inflation rates are going down. According to the findings of an investigation, productivity coming from B2B eTtade will rise 5% more in 10 years indeveloped countries. This means %0.5 rise in GNP. All these innovations, started in 1980’s and then accelerated after 1998, created a new concept: “New Economy”. Today, USA is the leader in this race.

 

Differences of the new economy according to its predecessor are; digital life style, increasing of R&D activities, strong global relationships and the importance given to human resources. Communication comes into front, and  thus; right person, right information, right programming and right costs are being realized.

 

New economy; brings fair share, security and transparency to the front line, too. Consumer’s dominance increase.

 

Orders of magnitude in developed countries ranks as consumer, supplier, bureaucracy and politics. This situation is in reverse order in our country. Turkey must catch the transformation. New economy and communication space will more add to this development. Unfortunately, bureaucracy is stay away from catching the speed of technology.

 

Now, everybody can reach to the information which was attainable from limited sources before. This gives the competition opportunity to small businesses against big ones.

 

We can say that the innovations were brought by new economy are the applications of banking sector. Technology both developed and became less expensive. A lot of additional possibilities occurred, then benefiting from them by companies came into agenda.

 

New economy creates new business processes, and upon putting into practice of these processes all our businesses will be able to open to the world.

 

REVENUE PLAY

Kenneth Cline / Banking Strategies

The emerging view on big bank mergers is that they don't work. But Richard M. Kovacevich wants to prove the exception to this rule. The president and chief executive of Wells Fargo & Co. is determined to show that a union of two of the nation's largest banks can indeed generate improved revenue growth. So far, the November 1998 combination of Wells and Norwest Corp. has avoided the missteps that hobbled others. Nevertheless, Kovacevich confronts a special challenge. Unlike some of his rivals, who can extract major cost savings from mergers within their own markets, Kovacevich did a long distance deal and thus is limited in his ability to realize efficiency gains.

 

He is counting on cross-selling to help him succeed where others have failed. Such a dramatic surge in cross-selling is key to generating the revenue growth he needs to declare the Norwest/Wells merger a success. There is disagreement, however, whether cross-selling is always a profitable activity.

 

Nor has Kovacevich completed the cultural integration of Norwest and Wells, which operated under starkly different business models. Minneapolis-based Norwest, Kovacevich's former bank and the acquirer in this transaction, took a community bank approach focused on relationship selling. San Francisco-based Wells, by contrast, was known for its centralized, line-of-business structure and product sales orientation. Realistically, until these disparate models are reconciled, Kovacevich can't expect to see dramatic improvements.

 

One reason banks have undertaken big mergers is to provide the broadest possible array of products and services for their customers in order to wrest back market share from nonbank competitors. Though cognizant of the challenge, Kovacevich insists that his revenue-generating formula will work. The edifice of cross-selling must be built on a foundation of tremendous persistence and discipline, he says.

 

Kovacevich is on the hook to deliver. His targets call for at least 13% annual growth in earnings per-share, predicated on at least 10% revenue growth. Given the ground the old Wells lost in 1997 and 1998, he says, reaching the 10% level will take a few more years. That can't last forever. At some point, the deal flow generated by the high-tech sector will slow down and Wells will need to make up the difference in its vast retail operation (42% of earnings).

 

Despite these pressures, Kovacevich is proceeding at an excruciatingly deliberate pace. He simply cannot afford to repeat the operational disasters that have destroyed other mergers. The old Wells' 1997 acquisition of First Interstate Bancorp, for example, was a textbook case of how not to do a bank merger. The debacle drove Wells into Norwest's embrace.

 

From start to finish, the systems conversion will take three years with the biggest chunk, California, left to the last. Kovacevich says he "doesn't understand the logic of trying to do it faster." As an out-of-market deal, Norwest/Wells would be expected to generate modest cost savings anyway. For that reason, Kovacevich has taken a "pick the best of each" approach to integration. Transition teams, composed of representatives from both sides, spent a year analyzing which systems and practices should be retained. Kovacevich admits that this method is difficult and slow but insists it's worthwhile. "It's a little like the race between the tortoise and the hare," he says. "It takes longer when you try to bring people together in a unified culture, but you win in the end."

 

Much has been made of the cultural differences between the old Wells and the old Norwest. In shorthand form, this is usually described as a contrast between "high touch" (Norwest) and "high tech" (Wells). Kovacevich argues that the real difference is in business models.

 

Wells, predominately a California-based, urban-oriented bank before the First Interstate acquisition, employed a line-of-business organizational structure to deliver a streamlined product menu at the lowest possible cost. Norwest, by contrast, employed a decentralized (and more costly) community bank-style distribution system designed to serve customers within a relationship context.

 

The Norwest relationship approach is unquestionably pervading the new Wells. Two of the five regional presidents in California are from Norwest. Although line-of-business structures are being retained for certain products, like small business loans and home equity lines, the retail branch system has adopted a more geography-centered organizational structure with a more diversified product menu. Customers of the old Wells, who were used to relying on that bank for a few basic services, like checking accounts and small business loans, will now be cross-sold insurance, mortgages and mutual funds. This cross-selling process will be aided by the introduction of Norwest's computerized customer profiling system, which allows branch employees to engage in consultative selling with customers and refer them to specialists who handle nonbank products.


The old Wells was famous for its lean-and-mean cost structure, which helped make that institution one of the industry's most profitable in the mid-90s. But the spare staffing models at Wells also contributed to its failure to handle customer service problems during the integration of First Interstate. True to his concept of taking the best of both, Kovacevich is also trying to instill some Wells-style efficiency in the old Norwest branches. But doing this without harming cross-sell ratios will be a challenge.

 

Kovacevich himself is mindful of the need to control expenses. But his bias is clearly to focus on sales, noting that the efficiency ratio depends on the denominator (revenue) as well as the numerator (cost). "Improving your ratio on cost alone doesn't work over time," he says. "A better way to improve it is to grow revenues faster than expenses."

 

Like all the other challenges facing Wells, this will require effective execution on the front lines. There's always a point at which the top strategist must rely on his troops to implement the plan. The careful approach Kovacevich has taken to merging the two companies, his avoidance of demoralizing, slash-and-burn tactics, increases the likelihood that Wells employees will rally to the cause.

 

PHANTOM SYNERGIES

By Bill Stoneman / FreelanceWriter -BAI


Coming so close on the heels of Bank One Corp.'s disastrous experience with First USA, a monoline credit card company acquired in 1997, one might be tempted to conclude that mergers among dissimilar financial services providers are destined for misfortune.

 

That would be unfair. Reviewing the recent history of cross-sector acquisitions by banking companies, it seems clear that these deals - when they work well - can bring tangible benefits. Perhaps foremost, they can get banks into businesses that are growing faster than traditional deposit-and-loan operations. A second goal in cross-sector deals is to sell an expanded range of proprietary products and services to current clients. But as recent misfires illustrate, hybrid deals carry serious risks. That raises the question of how dealmakers can increase the odds for success. There is no simple answer, obviously, since each transaction has its own dynamics.


At the strategic level, executives must be clear about exactly why they are buying a business outside their core expertise, and what they expect from that entity. Potential synergies, if they do exist, should be clearly delineated, and this requires an understanding of exactly which customer segments stand to benefit from a transaction. If strategists are simply buying into a faster-growing business, they should make that case without dressing up the deal in "phantom synergies," or conjectural merger benefits having only a remote chance of realization. Then, at the tactical level, managers must ensure the integration process is handled properly.


The high stakes involved in cross-sector mergers is reflected in the divergent fortunes of two major acquirers, Pittsburgh-based Mellon Bank Corp. and Conseco Inc., an insurer based in Carmel, Indiana. Mellon undertook a series of groundbreaking transactions, including Boston Co. in 1993, Dreyfus Corp. in 1994 and Founders Asset Management LLC in 1998, transforming its revenue stream in the process. The deals were not flawless, to be sure. Mellon suffered well-publicized losses of key talent at all of the acquired asset management units, an exodus observers attributed to an overly bureaucratic and "bank-like" approach to managing them.


By contrast, Conseco's $6.5 billion purchase of Green Tree Financial Corp., a mobile home lender, was a disaster. Investors never embraced the business plan for cross-selling between the two disparate customer bases, promised benefits were slow in materializing, and former chief executive Stephen Hilbert was finally pressured into resigning.


No single element neatly explains the difference between these two outcomes, and that is why strategists must strive for specificity in deal rationales and success factors. Cross-sell synergies, in fact, only partially account for the success of bank/asset management syntheses.
 
The hard facts are that company-owned products are not necessarily best-of-breed, nor are they always the best choice for a particular customer. At a time when customers have easy access to mutual fund rating services such as Morningstar Inc., banks can't get away with offering only the house brand.

 

Considerable upside can still be had if the acquirer improves the management of a new property and the dynamics of its market sector remain strong, although these two propositions can't be taken for granted either.

Synergies are more tangible when the acquirer can point to specific customer segments that will benefit from the transaction. This seems to be an important key in selecting and implementing business combinations. Asset management capabilities appeal to high net-worth individuals; corporate clients are appreciative of investment banking services; niche players can do a good job of serving customers with specialized needs.

Illustrating the possibilities with high-end clients, First Union points to its 1998 acquisition of Wheat First Butcher Singer, a Richmond, Va.-based brokerage firm. First Union Securities president Daniel J. Ludeman, who heads the successor brokerage business, cites a nearly 100% increase in revenue per-broker since First Union bought Wheat First.


Leasetec was rolled into Key Equipment Financing Group, which had extensive experience financing state and local government equipment users. Key's expertise with documentation and contracting issues peculiar to the public sector helped Leasetec enter that market for the first time.


Corporate clients comprise another promising segment. Analysts say investment banking acquisitions can bring tangible benefits to corporate customers, citing joint calls by officers of Citibank and Salomon Smith Barney under the Citigroup Inc. umbrella and Chase Manhattan Corp.'s apparently successful integration of Hambrecht & Quist.

Other combinations have a mixed rationale: part segment, part standalone. FleetBoston Financial Corp.'s 1998 purchase of Robertson Stephens fits in this category. Henrique de Campos Meirelles, president of global banking and financial services for FleetBoston, says companies in the bank's venture capital portfolio have gained access to Robertson Stephens' expertise in underwriting initial public offerings. Fleet's retail brokerage, Quick & Reilly, then helps distribute shares for those IPOs.

In still other cases, merger strategists try for an interplay of products marketed to distinctly different customer bases. This seems to be where Conseco and First Union got into trouble. Whatever went wrong at Money Store - and First Union declines to be specific about that - the bank certainly didn't achieve much synergy from putting prime and subprime customers under one corporate umbrella. Synergies are difficult to attain under the best of conditions, but they are even more elusive without at least some congruence in the two customer bases.

Summit Bancorp grappled with the referral problem in its acquisition of several insurance agencies. Generally, the fit between insurance agencies and banks with small and middle market-business customers is a good one, observers say. Virtually every business buys insurance year after year, and rolling several small agencies into a larger organization can yield better prices from insurance carriers. An introduction from a trusted adviser, such as a banker, can then improve the prospects for making a sale.

The mistake at Summit, which has acquired six agencies since 1997, was letting the new properties continue to operate as independent businesses. McClure says the parent company didn't want to mess with success. But adopting a hands-off stance made it more difficult for Summit's bankers to make referrals. They didn't make the effort to remember which agency handled property/casualty insurance and which sold group benefits. They also avoided explaining why the agencies didn't carry the Summit name. This year, five of the agencies were combined into one unit, which was re-flagged Summit Insurance Advisors. McClure won't divulge the unit's financial results, but says bankers have become more comfortable making introductions for the insurance agents. "Rarely a day goes by that we don't have cross-sell success stories," he says.

Transition pacing also is a factor. Approach the task of assimilation too gingerly and you sacrifice cost savings, coordination and risk controls. Move too aggressively and you risk losing star performers, as occurred with the former NationsBank Corp.'s $1.2 billion purchase of Montgomery Securities Inc. in 1997. Less than a year and a half later, in the wake of NationsBank's takeover of the former BankAmerica Corp., Montgomery Securities founder Thomas Weisel left, taking 100 of his best investment bankers with him.


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